As Austrian-British philosopher Karl Popper says, the only way of
testing a hypothesis is to form a view and to spend the rest of the day looking
for evidence that proves you are wrong, a process known as falsification. Good
decision-makers should consciously seek out diverse views that challenge their
existing opinions
The root cause of
confirmation bias is self-gratification, a constant need to feel right about
the choices we make, because intrinsically we all tend to believe that our
choices are a manifestation of our 1) character or 2) persona or 3) ability.
Self-gratification is an aftermath of over-confidence or under-confidence and a
self-driven confusion between cause and effect, often times wrongly attributing
higher weights to the outcome than the process. The cure to this issue is
active self-quarantine and a sense of scepticism in every observation, which by
nature is very difficult because to err is afterall human
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