Kaufman also summarizes
Munger’s approach into a ten-point value investing principles checklist. Here
it is:
1. MEASURE RISK
2. BE INDEPENDENT
3. PREPARE AHEAD
4. HAVE INTELLECTUAL HUMILITY
5. ANALYZE RIGOROUSLY
6. ALLOCATE ASSETS WISELY
7. HAVE PATIENCE
8. BE DECISIVE
9. BE READY FOR CHANGE
10. STAY FOCUSED
1. MEASURE RISK
All investment evaluations should begin by measuring risk, especially
reputational.
- Incorporate
an appropriate margin of safety
- Avoid
dealing with people of questionable character
- Insist
upon proper compensation for risk assumed
- Always
beware of inflation and interest rate exposures
- Avoid
big mistakes; shun permanent capital loss
2. BE INDEPENDENT
Only in fairy tales are emperors told they’re naked.
- Objectivity
and rationality require independence of thought
- Remember
that just because other people agree or disagree with you doesn’t make you
right or wrong – the only thing that matters is the correctness of your
analysis and judgment
- Mimicking
the herd invites regression to the mean (merely average performance)
3. PREPARE AHEAD
The only way to win is to work, work, work, and hope to have a few
insights.
- Develop
into a lifelong self-learner through voracious reading; cultivate curiosity
and strive to become a little wiser every day
- More
important than the will to win is the will to prepare
- Develop
fluency in mental models from the major academic disciplines
- If
you want to get smart, the question you have to keep asking is “why, why,
why?”
4. HAVE INTELLECTUAL HUMILITY
Acknowledging what you don’t know is the dawning of wisdom.
- Stay
within a well-defined circle of competence
- Identify
and reconcile disconfirming evidence
- Resist
the craving for false precision, false certainties, etc.
- Above
all, never fool yourself, and remember that you are the easiest person to
fool
“Understanding both the power of compound interest and the difficulty of
getting it is the heart and soul of understanding a lot of things.”
5. ANALYZE RIGOROUSLY
Use effective checklists to minimize errors and omissions.
- Determine
value apart from price; progress apart from activity; wealth apart from
size
- It
is better to remember the obvious than to grasp the esoteric
- Be
a business analyst, not a market, macroeconomic, or security analyst
- Consider
totality of risk and effect; look always at potential second order and
higher level impacts
- Think
forwards and backwards – Invert, always invert
6. ALLOCATE ASSETS WISELY
Proper allocation of capital is an investor’s No. 1 job.
- Remember
that highest and best use is always measured by the next best use
(opportunity cost)
- Good
ideas are rare – when the odds are greatly in your favor, bet (allocate)
heavily
- Don’t
“fall in love” with an investment – be situation-dependent and opportunity-driven
7. HAVE PATIENCE
Resist the natural human bias to act.
- “Compound
interest is the eighth wonder of the world” (Einstein); never interrupt it
unnecessarily
- Avoid
unnecessary transactional taxes and frictional costs; never take action
for its own sake
- Be
alert for the arrival of luck
- Enjoy
the process along with the proceeds, because the process is where you live
8. BE DECISIVE
When proper circumstances present themselves, act with decisiveness and
conviction.
- Be
fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful
- Opportunity
doesn’t come often, so seize it when it comes
- Opportunity
meeting the prepared mind; that’s the game
9. BE READY FOR CHANGE
Live with change and accept unremovable complexity.
- Recognize
and adapt to the true nature of the world around you; don’t expect it to
adapt to you
- Continually
challenge and willingly amend your “best-loved ideas”
- Recognize
reality even when you don’t like it – especially when you don’t like it
10. STAY FOCUSED
Keep it simple and remember what you set out to do.
- Remember
that reputation and integrity are your most valuable assets – and can be
lost in a heartbeat
- Guard
against the effects of hubris and boredom
- Don’t
overlook the obvious by drowning in minutiae
- Be
careful to exclude unneeded information or slop: “A small leak can sink a
great ship”
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