Friday, November 1, 2013

Chattisgarh - Opinion polls!

- 50% of the state are economically backward!
- you would expect Congress would be rocking here given the subsidy schemes direct transfer schemes etc
- "a one or two percent voter swing will prove to be a decider. In the last assembly battle of 2008, the difference between the BJP and the Congress was just two percent votes. But the BJP walked away with 12 extra seats than the Congress tally of 38 seats"
The conflict in Chhattisgarh, of which the ambush of the Congress convoy is the latest manifestation, is over whether the natural resources of Bastar belong to its people or to the state-supported corporations. A result of uneven development, it will never be resolved if the state keeps resorting to military adventurism instead of formulating policies that help the tribal people take their own decisions - Why would CPI(M) ambush Congress convoy alone? 1) could be a coup due to in-party conflicts or 2) 
- State has done reasonably well under raman singh chauhan - achieved the last five year plan, although social spend has gone up significantly => spent signicantly on the food security bill etc.
- But can someone run for 3 terms without significant respect (modi in GJ, basu in WB ?)
http://exitopinionpollsindia.blogspot.in/2013/10/the-best-track-record-in-election.html - Exit polls always seem to underestimate the number of seats Congress gets....BJP only won 145;)


No comments:

Post a Comment